Soccer Tips Home Field Advantage18/07/2017 10:05
The help of techniques like Home Field Advantage. Home teams and mixed strategy in soccer predictions. What data you feel is relevant for soccer tips.
Calculate Home Field Advantage in soccer tips
Attacking philosophy which made more opportunities
With the help of techniques like Home Field Advantage, many bettors are trying to benefit from working their own odds.
That is why in this article you are going to have the opportunity to learn how to calculate HFA even more accurately than the bookmaker.
All around the world, it is known that teams are having a better game when are playing at home. In order to find this conclusion, from 1888 was looking for every football league season.
Because of the soccer teams being fundamentally unbalanced. With some earning bigger home-field advantages than others. It is almost impossible to establish a universal home-field advantage handicap. If you analyze carefully you may use HFA in soccer predictions.
You should have in consideration
If you want to bet, then you should have in consideration what data you feel is relevant for soccer tips. For example, Manchester City’s and Chelsea’s HFA was significantly increased after their purchases by rich owners.
Here is the formula for calculating HFA:
HFA = (HF – HA) / 19
You already know what HFA means. HF is the number of goals scored at home per season and HA is the number of goals conceded at home.
You can use HFA in Asian Handicap soccer betting. For example, if one team has home handicap less than their HFA then it might be a sensible bet (but this is just one of the many factors that you need to consider in balancing betting strategy.
There is also influence on HFA from home crowds that should be looked into consideration.
For example, Liverpool had better HFA than Tottenham in all but one season and they still finished below them in the league.
A big importance is as well the stadium familiarity. For instance, Arsenal failed to use their HFA when they move for the 2006 season from Highbury to the Emirates Stadium.
Before moving to the Emirates Stadium Arsenal HFA was 1.51 and after that was lowered to 1.23. On the other hand, in the last couple of years, Arsenal’s HFA has been gradually increasing which means that now they ‘’feel at home’’ at the Emirates Stadium.
What else is important
Also what is important is the style of soccer that a team adopts. For example, Liverpool’s HFA got increased HFA in a period of two years from 0.89 to 1.84 even having the same manager and the similar squad. The main reason for that was that the manager Brendan Rodgers included more attacking philosophy which made more opportunities for Liverpool to score a goal which resulted in almost a goal per game increase in their HFA.
Over the years, many preconceptions have been proposed for what has an influence on HFA in soccer like weather, crowd size, travel and more. But later it was discovered that the biggest influence was the referee. It was discovered that teams that played at home received minor preferential treatment from the referee.
It was found out by the authors of Scorecasting complied data Wertheim and Moskowitz that the bias is not done consciously. Referees are after all humans. They absorb the emotion coming from the home crowd. In some cases, they make a decision that is in favor of the crowd.
In 2006, Ryan Boyko (Harvard Research Assistant) made research of the influences of HFA in soccer tips. He studied 5,000 Premier League games from 1992 to 2006 and he discovered that for every 10,000 home team fans the HFA was increased by 0.1 goals and that home teams are more likely to receive penalties, especially from inexperienced referees.
That is why when you are going to bet, you should have the referees as well in mind.